SV Erlbach vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 2
ERL
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
UNT
0 - 0
ERL
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ERL
2 - 2
VIL
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ERL
0 - 0
KOT
27%
22%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KIR
1 - 2
ERL
65%
19%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VRG
5 - 0
WOL
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 1
VRG
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 1
VRG
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 1
DAC
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 0
LAN
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |