SV Erlbach vs TuS Geretsried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+169%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 0
ERL
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ERL
1 - 0
TSK
34%
23%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ERL
2 - 3
DEI
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TSV
0 - 4
ERL
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ERL
1 - 3
TVA
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Geretsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TUS
0 - 0
TSK
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TUS
0 - 1
DEI
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TUS
1 - 5
TVA
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 2
TUS
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TUS
4 - 3
VFB
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |