SV Erlbach vs Freising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+169%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ERL
1 - 2
FCT
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TSK
3 - 1
ERL
43%
24%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
ERL
2 - 2
TPF
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
DEI
0 - 1
ERL
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ERL
0 - 1
TSV
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Freising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 1
TSK
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TPF
0 - 2
FRE
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
TSV
1 - 1
FRE
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
TVA
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 2
FRE
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |