SV Erlbach vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
9º
1º
47
1º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 0
ERL
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ERL
2 - 1
TSA
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
186
2 - 0
ERL
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ERL
0 - 3
DEI
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
KSC
0 - 4
ERL
19%
21%
61%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DAC
3 - 0
KOT
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KOT
0 - 1
RAI
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOT
3 - 2
FCG
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
TSA
2 - 2
KOT
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KOT
0 - 1
FCP
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |