SV Erlbach vs Ismaning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
6º
6º
16
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ERL
3 - 1
TSV
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 1
ERL
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 1
RAI
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 2
ERL
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 2
186
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ISM
1 - 0
LAN
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
ISM
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 4
TAM
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
KSC
70%
16%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |