SV Erlbach vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
61.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ROS
1 - 0
ERL
69%
17%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ERL
2 - 1
SON
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
DAC
0 - 2
ERL
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FCP
0 - 1
ERL
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
ERL
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
3 - 1
WOL
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
HEI
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 2
VRG
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DAC
1 - 2
HEI
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |