SV Erlbach vs ESV Freilassing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
TSV
0 - 4
ERL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ERL
0 - 1
LAN
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TSM
0 - 4
ERL
32%
23%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ERL
0 - 1
SVM
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TUS
3 - 1
ERL
68%
18%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ESV Freilassing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ESF
2 - 2
TSK
45%
21%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TPF
4 - 3
ESF
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ESF
0 - 4
DEI
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TSV
5 - 2
ESF
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ESF
6 - 3
TVA
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |