Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
17º
15º
38
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 60 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 56 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 34 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 22 |
18º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Hohkeppel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MSV
2 - 0
SVE
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 1
WUP
33%
23%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
SVE
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
DIE
48%
23%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AAA
3 - 0
SVE
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 5
KSC
5%
11%
84%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TDO
0 - 1
SPO
40%
24%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 2
GUT
66%
19%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KFC
0 - 2
SPO
43%
24%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
VFB
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |