Deutz vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SVD
3 - 2
SIE
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
H05
3 - 0
SVD
64%
17%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SVD
3 - 2
BFR
32%
21%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VFL
2 - 2
SVD
39%
21%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
SVD
2 - 1
SVB
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
H05
1 - 0
BWF
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BWF
4 - 2
VFL
61%
18%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BWF
3 - 6
DUR
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BER
2 - 0
BWF
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BWF
5 - 2
MER
60%
19%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |