Deutz vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SVD
2 - 3
SCB
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
SVD
11%
14%
75%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BLH
3 - 4
SVD
24%
19%
57%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SVD
1 - 4
SCF
74%
14%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SVS
2 - 3
SVD
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
MER
5 - 3
ALT
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 2
VFL
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
ALT
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
ALT
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 2
PES
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |