Dessau 05 vs Erfurt-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
SVD
1 - 4
CZJ
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
DRE
1 - 0
SVD
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
POS
1 - 0
SVD
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
SVD
4 - 0
OBE
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SON
3 - 3
SVD
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Erfurt-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 0
EIL
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ERF
2 - 1
MAG
15%
24%
61%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +5 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
AUE
4 - 1
ERF
66%
20%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ERF
2 - 0
ZWI
25%
27%
48%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GER
3 - 0
ERF
74%
17%
10%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |