Dessau 05 vs Dresden-Nord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
ERF
1 - 1
SVD
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SVD
4 - 2
DRE
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CZJ
4 - 1
SVD
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SVD
2 - 0
POS
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
OBE
0 - 2
SVD
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Dresden-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
DRE
3 - 1
EIL
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
SON
2 - 2
DRE
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SVG
0 - 0
DRE
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
POS
2 - 1
DRE
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
DRE
0 - 2
MAG
32%
28%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |