Dessau 05 vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
17.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.7%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.2%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
8.4%
1.8%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ZWI
1 - 1
SVD
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
SVD
1 - 4
GER
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 26 | 45 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
SVD
1 - 4
ZWI
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -5 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BWA
4 - 0
SVD
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SVD
3 - 1
SGD
47%
22%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
AUE
2 - 0
EIL
38%
25%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
SVG
2 - 2
AUE
62%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
AUE
0 - 2
DRE
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LOK
4 - 2
AUE
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
AUE
0 - 0
SON
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |