Bürmoos vs Thalgau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
2º
58
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bürmoos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
TSV
2 - 2
BUR
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
BER
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
1 - 1
BUR
39%
23%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
HAL
4 - 1
BUR
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
BUR
4 - 2
STR
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UFV
5 - 0
SAL
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
UFV
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UFV
3 - 1
SVS
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
UFV
3 - 0
PUC
93%
5%
2%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
BER
0 - 2
UFV
14%
17%
69%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |