Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Union Sandersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
53.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
12º
15º
15º
4
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 66 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 27 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 26 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
52% | 25% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 6
SSV
74%
14%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SSC
1 - 4
SVB
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HSC
3 - 2
SVB
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
SGR
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Sandersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SVD
2 - 2
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
BAK
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
EIL
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
SCF
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BIS
6 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |