Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs VFC Plauen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
63%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
16º
16º
57
3º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 3
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 2
VFL
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WAC
0 - 2
SVB
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SVB
1 - 1
EIN
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 1
SVB
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
CHL
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 2
CHE
12%
18%
70%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
PLA
4 - 0
EWD
74%
15%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ILE
2 - 5
PLA
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
SVA
0 - 2
PLA
17%
19%
65%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |