Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
79.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SVB
0 - 0
VFB
5%
11%
83%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 0
SVB
91%
6%
2%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SVB
1 - 2
CHL
4%
10%
86%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LUC
2 - 1
WIS
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
EIL
2 - 2
LUC
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LUC
1 - 1
ILE
18%
19%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
LFC
0 - 5
LUC
42%
21%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LUC
0 - 5
GER
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -2 |