Blau-Weiß Zorbau vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
16º
16º
59
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BUD
3 - 3
SVB
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 1
PLA
19%
18%
63%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 3
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SVB
2 - 2
VFL
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WAC
0 - 2
SVB
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
LFC
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
0 - 8
BIS
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 2
BIS
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 2
CHL
21%
24%
55%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VFL
1 - 2
BIS
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |