Biemenhorst vs Mülheimer FC 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
28%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
13º
10º
18
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 73 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 61 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 41 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
16º
|
30% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
45.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biemenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
6 - 0
SVB
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
TDV
4 - 1
SVB
38%
22%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SVB
1 - 6
VFB
40%
24%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 3
SVB
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 1
1FC
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Mülheimer FC 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 2
TDV
41%
21%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
4 - 1
MFC
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
SWE
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
1FC
2 - 1
MFC
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
KLE
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |