Bernbach vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
FSV
3 - 0
SVB
87%
10%
3%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
SVB
1 - 2
BAU
30%
25%
45%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
KKA
1 - 0
SVB
63%
22%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SVB
0 - 2
BUC
23%
25%
52%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SVB
1 - 1
EWM
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
FSV
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
WAL
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
VIK
1 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |