Bernbach vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
SVB
2 - 2
FVB
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ERZ
1 - 2
SVB
65%
19%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
SVB
2 - 3
WOR
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 2
SVB
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SVB
1 - 1
HES
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
4 - 2
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 3
ESC
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
HES
1 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |