Bernbach vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 0
SVB
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
SVB
0 - 1
FRA
28%
24%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SVB
2 - 3
SCN
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
KKA
2 - 2
SVB
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
SVB
3 - 1
VEL
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 5
SCN
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
SGW
2 - 0
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
BAU
2 - 2
MAR
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
BUR
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 3
BUC
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |