Bernbach vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ESC
0 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SWM
2 - 1
SVB
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
SVB
1 - 1
FVB
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
SVB
2 - 1
WAL
26%
26%
49%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SVB
0 - 3
BAU
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 4
WAL
25%
26%
49%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
VIK
1 - 1
VEL
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
VEL
0 - 5
FVB
35%
26%
39%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
VEL
0 - 1
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
1 - 1
VEL
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |