Bernbach vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
SVB
3 - 2
VFB
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
FSV
2 - 0
SVB
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
SVB
0 - 0
FUL
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
EDE
1 - 0
SVB
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
SVB
5 - 1
VIK
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 2
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
VFB
2 - 1
VEL
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 7
CFR
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
FSV
3 - 0
VEL
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
FRA
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |