Bernbach vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 2
SVB
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SVB
1 - 1
HES
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SCN
1 - 0
SVB
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SVB
5 - 1
VIK
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
KKA
0 - 3
SVB
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 1
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
0 - 2
ERZ
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
BUC
2 - 1
WOR
31%
25%
45%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
ESC
1 - 1
WOR
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |