Bernbach vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
SVB
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
SVB
4 - 4
ESC
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FRA
2 - 2
SVB
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
SVB
5 - 2
KKA
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 1
SVB
45%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
WOR
4 - 2
SCN
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
SGW
1 - 5
WOR
49%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
WOR
3 - 0
BUC
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
SGH
1 - 1
WOR
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
WOR
1 - 1
FSV
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |