Bernbach vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
FRA
0 - 2
SVB
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SVB
0 - 0
HES
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
WOR
3 - 0
SVB
62%
23%
15%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
SVB
4 - 1
WAL
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 2
SVB
76%
15%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2005 |
ERZ
5 - 0
BUC
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
ERZ
2 - 4
FVB
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
ERZ
2 - 3
SWM
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ESC
3 - 1
ERZ
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
GOR
0 - 1
ERZ
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |