Bernbach vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
FRA
1 - 2
SVB
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SVB
1 - 3
LOH
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SGW
1 - 1
SVB
55%
22%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2001 |
SVB
0 - 4
SGH
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
FVB
4 - 0
SVB
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
ERZ
5 - 1
VFB
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
FSV
3 - 3
ERZ
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
ERZ
1 - 0
FUL
24%
25%
52%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
EDE
2 - 1
ERZ
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 1
VIK
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |