Bernbach vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 2
SVB
76%
15%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SVB
1 - 2
FVB
26%
26%
48%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ESC
2 - 0
SVB
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
SVB
3 - 3
SWM
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
GOR
2 - 1
SVB
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 1
KKA
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BUC
1 - 0
WAL
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 2
EWM
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ERZ
4 - 2
WAL
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 4
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |