Bernbach vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
FSV
0 - 1
SVB
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SVB
0 - 0
EWM
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
VEL
0 - 1
SVB
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
LOH
2 - 1
SVB
40%
25%
36%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SVB
0 - 4
MAR
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 0
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
FVB
0 - 0
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
WAL
0 - 1
ESC
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
HES
2 - 1
WAL
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 2
SCN
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |