Bernbach vs Lohfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2001 |
SGW
1 - 1
SVB
55%
22%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2001 |
SVB
0 - 4
SGH
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
FVB
4 - 0
SVB
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
BAU
3 - 0
SVB
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SVB
3 - 1
VEL
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lohfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
LOH
1 - 6
VFB
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
FSV
1 - 1
LOH
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
LOH
0 - 1
FUL
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
CFR
1 - 1
LOH
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
EDE
0 - 3
LOH
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |