Bernbach vs Jügesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
WOR
3 - 1
SVB
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
SVB
1 - 3
MAR
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 0
SVB
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
SVB
0 - 1
FRA
28%
24%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SVB
2 - 3
SCN
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jügesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
JUG
1 - 1
SCN
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SGW
2 - 0
JUG
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
JUG
1 - 1
BUC
49%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
JUG
0 - 2
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
SGH
2 - 1
JUG
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |