Bernbach vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
SVB
2 - 1
WAL
26%
26%
49%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SVB
0 - 3
BAU
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
VIK
0 - 3
SVB
76%
16%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 3
SVB
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SVB
1 - 0
WOR
32%
28%
40%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
VEL
0 - 5
FVB
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
FVB
0 - 1
BUC
53%
24%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
SWM
1 - 1
FVB
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
FVB
2 - 1
ESC
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
FVB
3 - 2
WAL
26%
26%
48%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |