Bernbach vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ERZ
1 - 2
SVB
65%
19%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
SVB
2 - 3
WOR
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 2
SVB
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SVB
1 - 1
HES
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SCN
1 - 0
SVB
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
FVB
3 - 2
BUC
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FVB
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 1
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 0
FVB
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |