Bernbach vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
2 - 3
SVB
37%
24%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
VFB
0 - 0
SVB
62%
20%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SVB
0 - 3
FSV
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
FUL
1 - 2
SVB
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
SVB
5 - 1
EDE
40%
25%
34%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
FVB
4 - 4
VFB
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
FSV
2 - 4
FVB
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
FVB
0 - 2
FUL
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
EDE
3 - 2
FVB
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
FVB
1 - 1
VIK
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |