Bernbach vs Eschborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FRA
2 - 2
SVB
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
SVB
5 - 2
KKA
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 1
SVB
45%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
SVB
1 - 0
VIK
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 4
SVB
57%
22%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
ESC
3 - 0
SCN
26%
24%
51%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SGW
0 - 0
ESC
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ESC
1 - 3
BUC
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
SGH
1 - 0
ESC
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
ESC
3 - 5
FSV
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |