Bernbach vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SVB
1 - 1
EWM
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 1
SVB
79%
15%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SVB
0 - 5
FRA
41%
24%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
HES
0 - 3
SVB
84%
12%
4%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
SVB
1 - 3
WOR
42%
26%
31%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
FVB
2 - 3
BUC
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BUC
0 - 0
ESC
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SWM
0 - 1
BUC
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BUC
1 - 1
GOR
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
BUC
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |