Austria Salzburg vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
3º
1º
6
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 69 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 63 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 53 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 52 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 41 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 38 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 19 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
67% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 2
REI
70%
17%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 5
BET
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 1
VOC
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SVA
4 - 0
UNI
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 7
SVA
6%
14%
81%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KUN
2 - 2
KUF
15%
19%
67%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 0
KUF
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KUF
0 - 4
WIN
6%
13%
81%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KUF
0 - 3
BAY
11%
16%
74%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 0
KUF
60%
20%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |