Austria Salzburg vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
SEE
0 - 2
SVA
26%
22%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SVA
1 - 0
SCR
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
STJ
1 - 1
SVA
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SVA
2 - 0
PIN
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
SVP
2 - 1
SVA
66%
19%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 4
DOR
23%
23%
53%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 0
HAR
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 3
FCW
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 3
WAT
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 0
SCH
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |