Auersmacher vs Sportfreunde Eisbachtal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
18º
17º
21
9º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 60% |
|
Relegation
|
89.5% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KAI
5 - 1
AUE
76%
15%
10%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 4
AUE
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AUE
1 - 3
KOB
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AUE
1 - 2
TUS
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 2
PIR
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KOB
2 - 2
EIS
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
EIS
6 - 0
MOR
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 0
EIS
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
EIS
0 - 0
MEC
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 1
EIS
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |