Auersmacher vs Kaiserslautern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
18º
17º
47
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
89.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOB
3 - 2
AUE
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
AUE
53%
20%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 2
EIN
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WWO
2 - 0
AUE
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 3
KAI
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 3
TUS
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 3
BIT
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ARL
3 - 8
KAI
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 2
DIE
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 3
KAI
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |