Auersmacher vs Idar-Oberstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
18º
10º
6
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 3
AUE
75%
15%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 1
EPP
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
2 - 1
AUE
15%
18%
68%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 3
GON
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 1
AUE
56%
19%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 2
EPP
33%
22%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GON
0 - 0
IDA
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 3
EIS
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KOB
5 - 0
IDA
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 0
KAR
23%
20%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |