Auersmacher vs Gonsenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
18º
10º
17
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 24% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 1
AUE
56%
19%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
EIS
1 - 2
AUE
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
0 - 5
KAI
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOB
3 - 2
AUE
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
AUE
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gonsenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GON
6 - 1
EIS
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KOB
1 - 1
GON
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GON
1 - 2
KAR
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 4
GON
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
RWW
3 - 2
GON
14%
17%
69%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |