Auersmacher vs Diefflen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
53.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
4º
12º
7º
55
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
51 | 51 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
42 | 42 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
30 | 30 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
20 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AUE
0 - 5
GON
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 3
AUE
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AUE
2 - 1
DUD
39%
22%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AUE
3 - 2
KAR
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
2 - 0
AUE
68%
19%
14%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DIE
3 - 1
PIR
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DUD
1 - 0
DIE
31%
21%
48%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DIE
6 - 0
KAR
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
0 - 8
VRB
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
5 - 1
EIN
14%
20%
66%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +6 |