FC Grimma vs Blau-Weiß Zorbau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
16º
9º
16
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 55 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
16º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 0
SVG
66%
18%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VFL
2 - 1
SVG
37%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SVG
6 - 3
FSV
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 0
SVG
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SVG
2 - 1
EIN
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Zorbau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 2
UNI
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 6
SSV
74%
14%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SSC
1 - 4
SVB
44%
21%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HSC
3 - 2
SVB
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |