Morlautern vs TuS Koblenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
12º
18º
17º
18
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 77 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 75 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 75 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 73 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 51 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 44 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 44 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 37 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 28 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 23 |
18º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
85% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morlautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
3 - 1
MOR
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 5
WWO
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARL
2 - 0
MOR
52%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
IDA
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 1
MOR
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
TuS Koblenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
1 - 2
TUS
14%
17%
69%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
3 - 0
DIE
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 2
TUS
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 2
SMA
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
WOL
4%
12%
84%
|
37 | 88 | 51 | +1 |