Morlautern vs Schott Mainz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
18º
16º
51
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 62% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
86.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morlautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 2
MOR
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 4
ENG
42%
22%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
6 - 1
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
TUS
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
3 - 1
MOR
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
DIE
75%
14%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 6
SMA
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 3
AUE
75%
15%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 0
VHE
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 3
SMA
19%
21%
59%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |