SV 09 Arnstadt vs VfB Krieschow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
61.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
16º
16º
46
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 09 Arnstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
UNI
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 2
SVA
49%
22%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 1
AUE
27%
21%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 0
SVA
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 4
VFL
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
VFB
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VFB
3 - 0
PLA
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EWD
2 - 2
VFB
27%
19%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
3 - 0
SVG
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GER
5 - 2
VFB
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |