Atletico Suzuka vs Reilac Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
12º
9º
21
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 61 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 55 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 52 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 48 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 45 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 36 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 28 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 27 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Suzuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
SUN
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 1
REA
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KUS
2 - 2
SUN
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 1
VEK
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
YOK
2 - 0
SUN
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIO
3 - 1
TCF
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VEK
2 - 2
MIO
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 0
TIA
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OSV
2 - 2
MIO
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MIO
3 - 0
YOK
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |