Atletico Suzuka vs Criacao Shinjuku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
10º
34
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Suzuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HON
3 - 4
SUN
76%
17%
8%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 1
VER
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 2
URA
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
SUN
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MIO
1 - 2
SUN
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Criacao Shinjuku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 4
YOK
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VEK
1 - 1
CRS
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CRS
1 - 1
TIA
36%
24%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CRS
1 - 0
OSV
77%
15%
7%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
REA
1 - 1
CRS
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |